CHENEY PUSHES ARAFAT INTO SAME TIGHT CORNER AS SADDAM HUSSEIN
by DEBKAfile, 19 March 2002
"When US Vice President Richard Cheney began his whirlwind
Middle East tour, only one regional leader was under US ultimatum. When he
left, on Tuesday, March 19, there were two: Yasser Arafat and Saddam Hussein.
Neither is expected to surrender.
DEBKAfiles US and Israeli sources report that, as Cheney headed for
his broadcast joint news conference with Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon,
US envoy Anthony Zinni sped to Ramallah. He was instructed to give Arafat
due warning: Take a week to toe the US line - or face the consequences.
The US line is embodied in the Tenet work plan, which both the Palestinians
andIsrael formally accepted last year after its formulation by CIA director
George Tenet. Its acceptance bound the Palestinian side to cease all acts
of war and terror, to disband Palestinian terrorist organizationshis
own Fatah-Tanzim and Al Aqsa Martyrs Brigades, as well as the Hamas, Jihad
Islami and the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine, and arrest their
terror activists. Arafat is also required to round up all illicit weapons,
including explosives, mortars and rockets, sever his ties with fellow-terrorist
bodies overseas, such as the Hizballah, and the terror and intelligence groups
sponsored by Iraq and Iran, and staunch the outpouring of anti-American and
anti-Israeli hate propaganda over their media.
These steps would destroy the political, military and intelligence power bases
on which Arafats regime stands. Giving him a week for the project is
therefore unrealistic. However, if Anthony Zinni, who will be watching over
his shoulder, reports to the US president and vice president that a serious
start has been made, there will be rewards. Cheney is willing to return to
the Middle East especially to meet the Palestinian leader and confer with
him on steps for developing the US-Palestinian relationship and talk about
the passage from Tenet to the Mitchell peace plan and the creation of a Palestinian
state.
Arafat will also be allowed to travel to the Arab League summit opening in
Beirut on
March 28.
DEBKAfiles Palestinian sources explain that following the American script
may be beyond Arafat, because it would entail tearing down the elaborate edifice
he built up over many years for his Intifada against Israel. He would also
have to write off what he regards as substantial gains in the 18 months of
struggle. Should he decide nonetheless to cross that river, his external operational
mainstays, the Hizballah, Iraq and Iran, would not let him walk away.
But for the first time, Arafat has been given an American deadline
and a tight one at that. Defiance will bring him into a frontal clash with
a determinedly anti-terror Bush administration. Even giving in with good grace
may not bring him much more than a helping hand from Washington to step down
off the world stage and end a forty-year career of almost uninterrupted terror
with dignity.
Cheney broke new ground in yet a second key respect: He was presented by most
world media as facing heavy inter-Arab and European insistence on action by
the Bush team on the Palestinian issue, as their price for supporting Americas
war on Iraq. Had the US leader given in, Arafat would have cheered and the
Iraqi campaign receded into an uncertain future.
However, the vice president turned this equation round; he hitched the Arafat-Palestinian
problem to the Iraqi issue. This put Saddam on the spot. Now, if Arafat meets
Americas truce demands, Iraq stands to lose its forward line of defense
against a US offensive and the option of opening a second front to ease US
pressure.
In Cheneys hands, the two ultimatums tacitly merged into one.
Sharon responded to Cheneys tactic by sacrificing one of his most precious precepts, the refusal to enter into political negotiations under fire. Accordingly, on Tuesday, March 19, Israels extended security cabinet endorsed the unilateral acceptance of the Tenet ceasefire blueprint and undertook to apply the Mitchell plan thereafter. This was deemed a fitting quid pro quo for the American stratagem that pushed Arafat into sharing a corner with Saddam Hussein.
Like Arafat, Syrian president Bashar Assad, was cold-shouldered
by the US vice president, who skipped Damascus in his tour. Assad will not
have missed the ultimatum dealt out to Arafat, and will understand that he
too has been put on notice by Washington to abandon his ties with the Hizballah
and Baghdad, or else.