HOW MUCH DO U.S. PRESIDENTS KNOW ABOUT TERROR PLANS?
by DEBKAfile
17 May 2002
"On January 8, 1998, 33 months before the September 11 disasters, Islamic fundamentalist Ramzi Yousuf was sentenced by a Manhattan court to 240 years solitary confinement, a $4.5 m fine and $250 m in restitution for perpetrating the first terrorist attack on New Yorks World Trade Center in February 1993. Six Americans died in that attack and more than a thousand were injured. Yousef, today 32, continues to languish in a special penal installation in Manhattan together with some of his accomplices. The best known is the Blind Sheikh Abdul Rahman, who as a hard-core member of the violent Egyptian Jihad Islami, was a co-planner of the assassination of President Anwar Sadat in October 1981 in Cairo.
The trial records shed instructive light on al Qaedas objectives and methods:
1. Yousuf regarded his mission as a fiasco. The location of the truck he drove
into the parking area underneath one of the towers - and the size of the explosive
charge it carried - were mathematically calculated to force one of the two towers
to lean over and slam into the second one. This one blast was to have brought
the two towers crashing down, killing many thousands of Americans.
2. One year later, Yousuf, still at large, was in the Philippines. He was part
of a group that plotted the hijack from Far Eastern airfields of 12 Boeing 747
airliners bound for the US. They were to be blown up over 12 American cities,
including New York and Washington. At least 4,000 people aboard those flights
would have died, not counting the casualties on the ground.
That revelation alone indicated extensive forward planning: aviation training
had been organized for tens of terrorists to fly large airliners into American
airspace and blow them up over predetermined targets, one of them New York.
These two revelations were on the court record seven and eight years before
Osama bin Ladens suicide hijackers hit New York and Washington.
Therefore, the US presidents national security adviser Condoleezza Rice
was only technically correct when she stressed at her meeting with the press
on Thursday, May 16, that there was no way anyone could have predicted that
international terrorists would use hijacked planes as missiles and attack the
World Trade Center and the Pentagon. She added that the briefing received by
the president mentioned hijacking, but hijacking in the traditional sense
the most likely thing was that they would take over an airliner, holding passengers
and demand the release of one of their operatives. And the blind sheikh was
mentioned by name
At the same time, when all the information accumulated by US and foreign intelligence
agencies over the preceding seven years is put together, it is hard to believe
that none of the security and political professionals missed the warning signals
marking out the road to September 11, 2001.
Ever since the Yousuf trial, Osama bin Laden and his al Qaeda network were known
to be plotting mischief against America, targeting the World Trade as its outstanding
emblem; known to be training pilots for suicide missions in America. Yet White
House spokesman Ari Fleischer, who spoke to the media several hours before Rice,
insisted the information received in the White House in August 2001, one month
before the attacks, was generalized and non-specific.
Facing a barrage of questions, he said The president did not receive information
about the use of airplanes as missiles by suicide bombers. This was a new type
of attack that had not been foreseen. As a result, a series of changes and improvements
have been made in the way the United States deals with a terrorist threat.
He rebuked one questioner:
you are using the post-September 11th
knowledge of what a hijacking could be and applying it to August, prior to September
11th.
In answer to another question, Fleischer quoted from a speech made in April
at Duke University by Jim Pavitt, deputy director of operations for the CIA:
We had very, very good intelligence on the general structure and strategies
of the al Qaeda terrorist organization. We knew and were warned that al Qaeda
was planning a major strike. We never found the tactical intelligence, never
uncovered the specifics that could have stopped those tragic strikes
The
terror cells that were going up against are typically small, and all terrorist
personnel in those cells, participating in those cells, perpetrating the acts
of terror all those personnel were carefully screened. The number of
personnel who knew vital information targets, timing, the exact methods
to be used had to be smaller still.
Fleischer clearly drew on the words of this senior CIA officer to support his
contention that all terror warnings are general by definition because the United
States has never come up with tactical intelligence on al Qaeda. Without such
intelligence, the president cannot be expected to connect the dots,
the fragments of data provided by intelligence bodies, into pinpointed, comprehensive
advance knowledge, when that data is too general even for the CIA to construe
al Qaedas methods of operation.
Whatever is expected of the president in the way of tactical predictions, the arguments voiced by Fleischer - and through him by Pavitt - betray one basic fact: to this day, eight months after the traumas of 9/11, the United States remains vulnerable to al Qaeda terrorist assaults, prevented by lack of tactical intelligence from building up a complete tactical picture of the enemy.
This is still truefive months after the United States brought down the Taliban
regime in Afghanistan and stripped al Qaeda of its main territorial base, a
situation that poses two questions:
A. Why is the United States, despite having the most powerful, sophisticated
and affluent intelligence bodies in the world, whose annual budget runs into
$30b, short of the tactical intelligence necessary for waging a war on terror?
B. How come that a terrorist organization with a hard core numbering no more
than 3,000-5,000 members commands better tactical intelligence than the United
States as well as a counterintelligence capability effective enough to fend
off hostile penetration?
CIA officer Pavitt explained the two anomalies by the theory that al Qaeda cells
are extremely small, hinting at its ultra-tight compartmentalization and a degree
of ethnic and religious homogeneity that makes their ranks virtually impermeable.
That theory was one of the first casualties of the Afghanistan War, where fighters
of many nations, including Americans, British, Frenchmen and Russians, were
found to be fighting with al Qaeda. The American John Walker awaits trial at
a detention facility in Alexandria, Washington DC, while diverse nationals are
held at the Camp X-Ray center in Guantanamo.
In other words, had US intelligence wanted to plant undercover agents in the Islamic terror network, it would not have been impossible.
Second article in this series appears Saturday evening, May 18."