U.S., Israel Agree To End Arafat's Regime
by DEBKAfile
21 September 2002
Israels militarys Operation Absolute, which has flattened building after building in Yasser Arafats government compound in Ramallah, is aimed at more than winkling out the 50 hardcore terrorist chiefs he harbors, or even retribution for the fresh wave of suicide terror he unleashed against Israel this week at the cost of nine Israeli lives. This operation was planned jointly in Washington and Jerusalem as a strategic step in the military and intelligence preparations that are bringing open war on Iraq very close.
It has exposed to the light of day a manifestation that DEBKAfiles counter-terror
sources began noting in early 2001; Arafats intelligence machine, which
runs his terror arms Fatah, Tanzim, Force 17 and the al Aqsa Martyrs
Brigades - is partially manipulated and financed by Saddam Husseins military
intelligence.
Arafats associate terror arms, such Hamas, Jihad Islami, Popular Front,
are controlled and funded by Saudi and Syrian interests and the Hizballah. Iraqi
military intelligence is strongly present behind the scenes.
The factor most troubling to US war leaders and the Israeli government is the
information that Saddam has managed to smuggle a set of chemical and biological
weapons to Arafats operatives, especially the ones commanded by General
Intelligence chief Tawfiq Tirawi, who doubles as al Aqsa commander. It is also
feared that Iraq has been allowed to plant its undercover agents, armed with
weapons of mass destruction, including even radiological devices, among Arafats
terror cells.
These discoveries and suspicions prompted Israels all-out operation to
cut off Arafats links with the outside world and its efforts to lay hands
on Tirawi and at least 10 other of Arafats top guns who shelter in his
quarters. These men are believed to be in possession of the secret locations
of the Palestinian terrorist rings harboring Iraqi agents and their weapons
of mass destruction.
Smashing this Palestinian-Iraqi connection and its hub in Ramallah is regarded
by the Americans and Israelis as the key to preventing Saddam mounting an unconventional
warfare attack from Arafats terror base and not only against Israel.
WMD strikes against Jordan too may be planned. US, Israel and Jordanian intelligence
services have discovered the two conspirators are considering shaking King Abdullahs
throne in Amman or even overthrowing him before the US military offensive
against Baghdad gets going.
A general terror offensive in Jordan and Israel would, they believe cripple
Americas rear bases in Jordan, hamstring the units operating in Western
Iraq and disrupt the overland, air and sea routes linking them to the Mediterranean
and Red Sea. Rooting out this hazard from its Ramallah source is the immediate
objective of IDF Operation Absolute. But not the only one.
DEBKAfiles analysts report three further goals:
A. Further narrowing down Arafats options and pointing him to his last
remaining outlets. The systematic demolition of his compound in Ramallah leaves
him surrounded with rubble, stripped of the trappings of government, destroyed
its institutions, cut off his communications and unable to care for his most
basic needs. His only resort is self-exile, either to the Gaza Strip, whence
Israel has begun deporting terrorists, or an Arab country still willing to accept
him Yemen or Sudan.
B. Applying to Israel even through such intermediaries as the Europeans
or the Egyptians for safe passage to the Gaza Strip would be tantamount
to abdicating his rule over the West Bank. His favorite taunt for enemies would
rebound against him: If they dont like what Im doing, let
them drink the waters of Gaza!
C. Arafats disappearance from the West Bank would facilitate the establishment
of Jordanian rule in line with the Bush master plan for remolding Middle East
boundaries while fighting Saddam in Baghdad.
Jordan has set up its West Bank power base in Bethlehem, as DEBKAfile reported
last month. The base is secured by the Palestinian Liberation Army Al Badr unit
of the Jordanian army, which is loyal to the Hashemite crown. As soon as Arafat
is out of Ramallah or even stranded high and dry in the last remaining
building of his headquarters Jordan will pump more troops into the West
Bank, including Ramallah. But Israel tanks will not lift their siege or relieve
his isolation. Operation Absolute will go on to the end. In the event of a standoff,
Israeli troops already filling the passageways to Arafats rooms will break
in and forcibly extract Tirawi and other wanted terror ringleaders, leaving
the leader in solitary isolation attended by no more than two or three close
aides.