How Arrogant Was the Path to War
Robert Fisk, The Independent
BEIRUT, 5 September 2003 How arrogant was the path to war. As US President Bush now desperately tries to cajole the old UN donkey to rescue him from Iraq he who warned us that the UN was in danger of turning into a League of Nations talking shop if it declined him legitimacy for his invasion we are supposed to believe that no one in Washington could have guessed the future.
The neoconservative, pro-Israeli American advisers around Donald Rumsfeld unsurprisingly silent now that their pre-war enthusiasm has trapped 146,000 American troops in the biggest rats nest in the Middle East say only that mistakes were made in their assumptions.
Messers Bush and Blair fantasized their way to war with all those mythical weapons of mass destruction and imminent threats from Iraq whether of the 45-minute variety or not and of the postwar liberation, democracy and map-changing they were going to bestow upon the region. But the record shows just how many warnings the Bush administration received from sane and decent men in the days before we plunged into this terrible adventure.
Take the Senate Foreign Relations Committee hearings in Washington on the eve of war. Assistant Under Secretary Douglas Feith, one of Rumsfelds neocons, revealed that an office for postwar planning had only been opened three weeks earlier. He and Under Secretary of State Marc Grossman conceded that the Pentagon had been thinking about postwar Iraq for ten months. Feiths testimony bears close examination.
There are enormous uncertainties, he said. The most you can do in planning is develop concepts.
US senators at the time were highly suspicious of the concept bit. When Democrat Joe Biden asked if anyone in the Bush administration had planned the postwar government of Iraq, Grossman replied that there are things in our country were not going to be able to do because of our commitment in Iraq. Richard Lugar, the Republican chairman then asked: Who will rule Iraq and how? Who will provide security? How long might US troops conceivably remain? Will the United Nations have a role? Ex-Gen. Anthony Zinni, once the top man in US Central Command with a wealth of peacekeeping experience in Kosovo, Somalia and (in 1991) northern Iraq, smelled a rat and said so in public. Do we want to transform Iraq or just transition it out from under the unacceptable regime of Saddam Hussein into a reasonably stable nation? Transformation implies significant changes in forms of governance, in economic policies...Certainly there will not be a spontaneous democracy... Zinni spoke of the long hard journey toward reconstruction and added with ironic prescience that it isnt going to be a handful of people that drive out of the Pentagon, catch a plane and fly in after the military peace to try to pull this thing together.
But incredibly, thats exactly what happened. First it was Jay pull-your-stomach-in-and-say-youre-proud-to-be-an-American Garner, and then the famous anti-terrorism expert Paul Bremer who washed up in Baghdad to hire and then re-hire the Iraqi Army, to fire and then re-hire the Baath Party university professors, and then faced with one dead American a day (and 250 US troops wounded in August alone) to rehire the murderous thugs of Saddams torture centers to help in the battle against terrorism. Iraq, Bremer blandly admitted last week, will need several tens of billions of dollars next year alone. The truth though he didnt say so is that the Coalition Provisional Authority over which Bremer rules and whose postwar press communiques are becoming ever more insincere and incomplete, is about to run out of money.
No wonder Rumsfeld keeps telling us he has enough men in Iraq. Sixteen of Americass 33 combat brigades are now in the cauldron of Iraq five others are also deployed overseas and the 82nd Airborne, only just out of Afghanistan (where another five US troops were killed last weekend) is about to be deployed north of Baghdad. Bring em on, Bush taunted Americas guerrilla enemies last month. Well, theyve taken him at his word. There is so far not a shred of evidence that the latest Bush administration fantasy thousands of foreign Islamist jihadi fighters streaming into Iraq to kill Americans is true.
But it might soon be. And what will we be told then? Wasnt Iraq invaded to destroy terrorism rather than to recreate it? We were told Iraq was going to be transformed into a democracy and suddenly its to be a battleground for more war against terror.
America, Bush now tells his people, is confronting terrorists in Iraq and Afghanistan...so our people will not have to confront terrorist violence in New York or...Los Angeles. So thats it then. Draw all these nasty terrorists into our much-loved liberated Iraq and theyll obligingly leave the homeland alone. I wonder.
But notice, too, how everything is predicated to Americas costs, to American blood. An American commentator, Rosie DiManno, wrote this week that in Iraq theres also the other cost, the one measured in human lives...one American a day slain since Bush declared the major fighting over. Note here how the blood of Iraqis whom we were so desperate to liberate six months ago has disappeared from the narrative. Up to 20 innocent Iraqi civilians a day are now believed to be dying in murders, revenge killings, at US checkpoints and yet they no longer count. No wonder journalists now have to seek permission from the occupation authorities to visit Baghdad hospitals. Who knows how many corpses they would find in the morgue?
The Baghdad communiques are belated, insincere, incomplete. Things are far worse than we have been told...We are today not far short of a disaster.
was describing the crumbling British occupation of Iraq, under guerrilla attack
in 1920. His name was Lawrence of Arabia.