Title:  U.S. Quietly Pulls All Naval Carrier Groups Out of The Persian Gulf!

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Subtitle: Moderate Arab Governments are really upset, because VP Cheney and Defense Secretary Gates promised moderate Arab allies that America would maintain two to three carrier groups in the Region to continually warn Iran that it had better not start a war.

Will this sudden pull-out result in peace or in war? We examine both sides of the question -- you might be surprised.


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On the surface, one can hardly believe his/her ears! After months and months of war rhetoric emanating from the White House, the Pentagon, and Defense officials, the two American aircraft carrier groups operating in the Persian Gulf are quietly removed and sent to the Pacific off Guam.

But, to make matters worse, the USS Enterprise Strike Group has not yet arrived in the Persian Gulf to replace the two carriers who have just left. This reality means that, as of this moment, there is no American naval presence in the Persian Gulf opposite Iran. Moderate Arab governments are justifiably upset, for VP Cheney toured the Middle East with Defense Secretary Robert Gates, reassuring nervous moderate, pro-Western Arab governments that America was committed to their defense. To back up this claim, Cheney and Gates promised that two to three naval carrier groups would constantly be kept on station "opposite Iran", as visible proof that President Bush was resolutely committed to their survival, especially against an Iranian attack.

Now, suddenly -- and without warning -- there are none. They have been quietly shipped out, without public awareness and without any kind of fanfare. Let us examine the pertinent news stories.

NEWS BRIEF: "Big US Armed Forces integrated Valiant Shield exercises simulate possible operation against Iran", DEBKAfile Intelligence, August 6, 2007

"The maneuvers beginning Monday, Aug. 6, in waters off Guam include the simultaneous deployment of three carriers and their air and naval strike groups: USS Stennis, USS Nimitz and USS Kitty Hawk, altogether 30 warships, 280 warplanes and 22,000 soldiers and sailors. The exercise is commanded by Adm. Robert Willard, Pacific Fleet chief. This will be America’s last major combined sea-air war game before during Bush presidency which ends in Jan. 2009 and last opportunity for drilling large-scale combined units should the president decide on a military operation against Iran."

This exercise -- dubbed 'Valiant Shield' -- is not a new naval exercise. These next stories show that this exercise has occurred before, and indeed, is a bi-annual affair.

"Valiant Shield was a large war game conducted by the United States military in the Pacific Ocean in June 2006. The exercise began on 19 June 2006 and lasted for five days, concluding on 24 June 2006. According to the Navy, Valiant Shield focused on cooperation between military branches and on the detection, tracking, and engagement of units at sea, in the air, and on land in response to a wide range of missions.[1] The exercise involved 22,000 personnel, 280 aircraft, and thirty ships, including the supercarriers USS Kitty Hawk, USS Abraham Lincoln, and USS Ronald Reagan. It was the largest military exercise to be conducted by the United States in Pacific waters since the Vietnam War, and it was also the first time observers from the People's Republic of China were allowed to view U.S. wargames. The exercise marked the first of what will become biennial exercises involving different branches of the U.S. military." (Wikipedia Encyclopedia)

Now, compare this information with the DEBKAfile article, above, and you will discover that this year's Valiant Shield exercise is planned to be a routine, biennial (every second year) affair. The only odd bit of news is that the first exercise occurred in June, 2006, which means the next one would occur in Summer, 2008. But, in Summer, 2007, another "Valiant Shield" exercise is now underway.

This oddity seems strange, because why would you schedule a naval exercise one year ahead of schedule, and why would you move forward an exercise when it means pulling both your carriers out of the Persian Gulf, amidst a hair-trigger war crisis? Why would you leave a vacuum of naval power in this region for even a few days?

The DEBKAfile article provides the rationale:

"This will be America’s last major combined sea-air war game before during Bush presidency which ends in Jan. 2009 and last opportunity for drilling large-scale combined units should the president decide on a military operation against Iran ... the exercises will be held in conditions resembling as closely as possible those in Iran and practice assaults of the kind that may be executed against the Islamic Republic. When he spoke of the drills, Willard may well have been describing the realities expected to prevail in a real-life offensive against the Islamic Republic.. Valiant Shield, he said, will 'include the complexities of operating three aircraft carriers in the same area while at the same time adding in the operations of another component – the fighters, bombers and tankers of the US Air Force'.”

Now, if the Pentagon wanted to simulate a war against Iran with this exercise, why pull both aircraft carrier groups out of the very region in which the war would occur, move those forces thousands of miles across several oceans, and plan the exercise in a wide-open sea, not at all the closely confined Persian Gulf? It makes a whole lot more sense to conduct the exercise in full view of Iran -- to demonstrate your fearsome capabilities -- and to not allow a power vacuum to occur.

With Russian satellite capability, Iran will learn exactly what this exercise was like, even if it occurred thousands of miles away, off the coast of Guam.

However, the thought has occurred to me: what if our leaders wanted to deliberately create a power vacuum?

On the surface, this deployment out of the Persian Gulf of both our aircraft carrier groups signals to the radical Arab world that America is not so resolute after all. From the reaction of one Gulf Arab official, moderate Arab governments are viewing this silent deployment exactly in this manner. After talking so tough for so long this year, America quietly pulls her fleet out in the face of stern Iranian countermeasures.

While I am not predicting anything, I find it highly interesting that this naval exercise has emptied the Persian Gulf of significant naval presence at the very time when tensions have been running so high, at the same time that other signs are pointing to war. What could occur during this time period, during this power vacuum?

We are either going to see:

1) Peace break out.

Today, Israeli Prime Minister Olmert is meeting in Jericho on the West Bank, with Palestinian Chairman, Abbas. They are reportedly beginning "Final Status" talks aimed at producing a Palestinian State in very short order, i.e., between now and November. Evidently, Washington and Tel Aviv have decided that they better create the perfectly useless Palestinian State while the Masonic Abbas is still in control; if Hamas overthrows Abbas in the West Bank before a Palestinian State can be established, Israel cannot get a State established at all.

Remember, Israel can treat a state a whole lot more harshly during wartime than it can individual citizens. If Israel is going to annihilate the Palestinians in fulfillment of Obadiah 15-18 (Read NEWS2095), it needs a state created, and quickly.

Today, the third high-level meeting is occurring between American and Iranian officials as the Bush Administration is desperately trying to get Iran's assistance in stabilizing Iraq. Let us review this story:

NEWS BRIEF: "3rd round of Iran-US-Iraq talks kicked off", IRNA News, August 6, 2007

"The third round of tripartite talks on security in Iraq started minutes ago in presence of Iranian, US and Iraqi officials here Monday morning. The talks are being attended by deputy head of the Iranian delegation, Amir Abdollahian, and his counterparts from the US and Iraq."

It is possible that Iranian officials demanded that the United States pull its two carrier groups out of the Persian Gulf before these security talks could proceed. If this is the case, then America's situation in the Iraq War is more grave than any of us dared imagine. However, this possibility has to be considered a long shot, at best.

The other possibility is:

2) A pretext for war could be easily created now that the American naval presence has been suddenly scaled down so dramatically. Last week, we posted an article from Pat Buchanan, in which he warned that, in the month of August, the Americans might try to stage a phony "Iranian attack" on American facilities and/or military units -- either air force or navy.

Let us review this most recent Headline News article:

NEWS2220 -- "Is The Illuminati 'Telegraphing Its Punches' When Pat Buchanan Warns of A "Gulf Of Tonkin" Type Incident Which Would Give President Bush The Excuse To Attack Iran?"

Listen to key excerpts, as we quote Mr. Buchanan, a man so much an insider that many consider him to be "Mr. Republican":

" 'Is the United States provoking war with Iran, to begin while the Congress is conveniently on its August recess? One recalls that it was in August 1964, after the Republicans nominated Barry Goldwater, that the Tonkin Gulf incident occurred .... Twice it was said, on Aug. 2 and Aug. 4, North Vietnamese patrol boats had attacked the U.S. destroyers Maddox and Turner Joy in international waters. The U.S. Senate responded by voting 88 to 2 to authorize President Johnson to assist any Southeast Asian nation whose government was threatened by communist aggression. The bombing of the North began, followed by the arrival of U.S. Marines. America’s war was on'."

Now, Buchanan gets down to "brass tacks".

"... something smells awfully fishy here."

Indeed, something very fishy smells as to why we would be "tempt Iran" so clearly by drawing down our forces so completely and so quietly.

The skilled propagandist could easily make the story plausible to the masses that Iran decided to strike at remaining forces in the region once the bulk of America's naval power was abruptly pulled out.

The discerning person has also to remember that Senator Trent Lott (32nd Degree Mason) strongly hinted at a terror alert on this coming September 11, precisely six years after the original attacks of 9/11.

We can only wait to see: Will the immediate future hold peace or a staged confrontation which could trigger all-out regional war?

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